Publications

Research Note: Demographic Change on the United States Coast, 2020–2100

Prospective demographic information of the United States is limited to national-level analyses and subnational analyses of the total …
Research Note: Demographic Change on the United States Coast, 2020–2100

User Beware: Concerning Findings from the Post 2011–2012 U.S. Internal Revenue Service Migration Data

The U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) makes publicly and freely available period migration data at the state and county levels. Among …
User Beware: Concerning Findings from the Post 2011–2012 U.S. Internal Revenue Service Migration Data

Racial disparities for COVID19 mortality in Georgia: Spatial analysis by age based on excess deaths

This study uses multiple measures of excess deaths to analyze racial disparities in COVID-19 mortality across Georgia. The Georgia …
Racial disparities for COVID19 mortality in Georgia: Spatial analysis by age based on excess deaths

Housing unit and urbanization estimates for the continental U.S. in consistent tract boundaries, 1940–2019

Subcounty housing unit counts are important for studying geo-historical patterns of (sub)urbanization, land-use change, and residential …
Housing unit and urbanization estimates for the continental U.S. in consistent tract boundaries, 1940–2019

Half of US population exposed to adverse lead levels in early childhood

Lead is a developmental neurotoxicant in wide industrial use that was once broadly distributed in the environment. The extent of the US …
Half of US population exposed to adverse lead levels in early childhood

Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise

The exposure of populations to sea-level rise (SLR) is a leading indicator assessing the impact of future climate change on coastal …
Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise

More than a nuisance: measuring how sea level rise delays commuters in Miami, FL

Sea level rise increases coastal cities’ exposure to tidal flooding and elevates the risk of transportation routes being compromised at …
More than a nuisance: measuring how sea level rise delays commuters in Miami, FL

Migration towards Bangladesh coastlines projected to increase with sea-level rise through 2100

To date, projections of human migration induced by sea-level change (SLC) largely suggest large-scale displacement away from vulnerable …
Migration towards Bangladesh coastlines projected to increase with sea-level rise through 2100

Inaction on Climate Change Projected to Reduce European Life Expectancy

Climate change-related excess mortality estimates clearly demonstrate a dramatic impact on public health and human mortality. However, …
Inaction on Climate Change Projected to Reduce European Life Expectancy

Sea-level rise and human migration

Anthropogenic sea-level rise (SLR) is predicted to impact, and, in many cases, displace, a large proportion of the population via …
Sea-level rise and human migration

Population Pyramids Yield Accurate Estimates of Total Fertility Rates

The primary fertility index for a population, the total fertility rate (TFR), cannot be calculated for many areas and periods because …
Population Pyramids Yield Accurate Estimates of Total Fertility Rates

Evacuees and Migrants Exhibit Different Migration Systems After the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami

Research on the destinations of environmentally induced migrants has found simultaneous migration to both nearby and long-distance …
Evacuees and Migrants Exhibit Different Migration Systems After the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami

Population projections for U.S. counties by age, sex, and race controlled to shared socioeconomic pathway

Small area and subnational population projections are important for understanding long-term demographic changes. I provide county-level …
Population projections for U.S. counties by age, sex, and race controlled to shared socioeconomic pathway

No landward movement: examining 80 years of population migration and shoreline change in Louisiana

Louisiana lost nearly 5,000 km2 of its coastal land area due to relative sea level rise (including local, regional, and global factors …
No landward movement: examining 80 years of population migration and shoreline change in Louisiana

Meeting the looming policy challenge of sea-level change and human migration

Minimizing the adverse consequences of sea-level change presents a key societal challenge. New modelling is necessary to examine the …
Meeting the looming policy challenge of sea-level change and human migration

IRS county to county migration data, 1990–2010

The county-to-county migration data of the Internal Revenue Service’s (IRS) is an incredible resource for understanding migration in …
IRS county to county migration data, 1990–2010

Bayesian estimation of total fertility from a population's age–sex structure

We investigate a modern statistical approach to a classic deterministic demographic estimation technique. When vital event registration …
Bayesian estimation of total fertility from a population's age–sex structure

The Suburbanization of Food Insecurity: An Analysis of Projected Trends in the Atlanta Metropolitan Area

Although general patterns of food insecurity in the United States are known, few studies have attempted to estimate small area food …
The Suburbanization of Food Insecurity: An Analysis of Projected Trends in the Atlanta Metropolitan Area

Social vulnerability projections improve sea-level rise risk assessments

Rising seas will impact millions of coastal residents in coming decades. The vulnerability of coastal populations exposed to inundation …
Social vulnerability projections improve sea-level rise risk assessments

A Life Table Approach to Estimating Disproportionate Minority Contact in the Juvenile Justice System

Disproportionate minority contact (DMC) in the U.S. juvenile justice system persists despite substantial efforts to reduce it. The …

Migration induced by sea-level rise could reshape the US population landscape

Many sea-level rise (SLR) assessments focus on populations presently inhabiting vulnerable coastal communities1,2,3, but to date no …
Migration induced by sea-level rise could reshape the US population landscape

Millions projected to be at risk from sea-level rise in the continental United States

Sea-level rise (SLR) is one of the most apparent climate change stressors facing human society1. Although it is known that many people …
Millions projected to be at risk from sea-level rise in the continental United States

Sea-level rise and sub-county population projections in coastal Georgia

It is increasingly apparent that stressors associated with anthropocentric climate change are likely to have dramatic effects on future …
Sea-level rise and sub-county population projections in coastal Georgia

Indirect Estimates of Total Fertility Rate Using Child Woman/Ratio: A Comparison with the Bogue-Palmore Method

Indirect estimation methodologies of the total fertility rate (TFR) have a long history within demography and have provided important …
Indirect Estimates of Total Fertility Rate Using Child Woman/Ratio: A Comparison with the Bogue-Palmore Method

A 3D Spatio-Temporal Geovisualization of Subcounty Estimates of Historic Housing Density in Metro Atlanta, 1940–2009

This paper is a 3D Geovisualization of subcounty estimates of historic housing density in the 20-county metro Atlanta Region for …
A 3D Spatio-Temporal Geovisualization of Subcounty Estimates of Historic Housing Density in Metro Atlanta, 1940–2009